MODESTO is now under coverage.
Local dating, modeled. Every signal in Modesto, converted into a tactical roadmap.
Greater Modesto is open as a field office. The headline numbers, each sourced and confidence-flagged:
- $1,550 per month Zumper Rent Research, June 2026
- $36,977 per year Census ACS 5-yr, 2019–2023
- 55% Census ACS 5-yr, 2019–2023
By the numbers
11 sourced, confidence-flagged metrics for Modesto — gender, money, neighborhoods, and political lean. The deep dive, with charts, is in the console below.
- Singles, 22 to 50
103,411
- Gender balance
55%
- Male skew
55%
- Median income
$36,977
- 1-bedroom rent
$1,550
- Living wage
$52,416
- Transit fare
$2
- Rent trend
$1,550
- Most female-leaning zone
51%
- Democratic
36%
- Republican
36%
The shape of the market
Even the most balanced zone, Salida, runs about 51% male.
Modesto runs about 55% male, sharpest in East Modesto (62%) and West Modesto (60%).
How dating actually happens
Only about 14% of matches on curated apps like Hinge turn into a first date.
Roughly 1 in 10 partnered adults met their partner online, and the share climbs sharply for younger and LGB couples.
One in four matches never gets a reply.
53% of online daters say their overall experience has been positive.
Dating safety in Modesto
78% of active dating-app users report burnout: 80% of women (driven by message volume) and 74% of men (driven by a lack of responses).
60% of Americans support requiring a background check before someone can create a dating profile.
An estimated 26% of men have received unsolicited explicit content, far below the rate for women.
56% of women under 50 have been sent unsolicited explicit images while dating online.
48% of online daters have faced at least one form of harassing behavior on a dating platform.
43% of women under 50 say a match kept contacting them after they said no.
52% of online daters say a scammer or bot has contacted them.
63% of men under 50 say a scammer or bot has contacted them, the highest of any group.
11% of women under 50 have been physically threatened on a dating platform.
40% of daters say platforms do a bad job removing fake and bot accounts; only 20% say they do well.
The LGBTQ+ landscape
53% of LGB adults have used a dating app, far more than straight adults.
About 24% of LGB couples met online, roughly three times the straight rate.
About 70% of LGB adults under 30 have used a dating app, the highest-adoption cohort anywhere.
7.6% of U.S. adults now identify as LGBTQ+, up from 3.5% in 2012.
22.3% of adults aged 18 to 34 identify as LGBTQ+.
Political alignment
24% of Americans say they could never date someone who disagrees with them on abortion.
California registers voters by party, and Stanislaus County (Modesto) is a true toss-up — registered Democrats (36%) edge Republicans by under a point, with a fifth registering No Party Preference.
Registered Republicans are right on the Democrats’ heels at about 36%, making this among the most evenly split markets we cover by registration.
47% of single daters would not seriously date a Trump voter; among Democratic women that rises to 79%.
69% of Americans would not date someone who is unemployed, rising to 81% of women.
The cost of dating
A single adult in Stanislaus County needs about $52,400 a year just to cover the basics.
Modesto’s one-bedroom rents are elevated for the Central Valley, lifted by Bay Area spillover.
Americans reported $1.3 billion in romance-scam losses in a single year, a tax on every crowded market.
A MAX bus fare in Modesto is $2.00 one way.
Neighborhood intelligence
| Neighborhood | Singles | M / F | Income | 1BR rent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Modesto | 11,807 | 51 / 49 | $38,684 | $1,596 |
| Northeast Modesto | 11,050 | 52 / 48 | $42,523 | $1,795 |
| South Modesto | 10,574 | 56 / 44 | $28,471 | $1,465 |
| Ceres | 9,308 | 56 / 44 | $32,938 | $1,487 |
| Turlock | 8,815 | 55 / 45 | $36,688 | $1,429 |
| West Modesto | 5,840 | 60 / 40 | $33,014 | $1,594 |
| Oakdale | 5,131 | 53 / 47 | $37,966 | $1,597 |
| Downtown Modesto | 4,763 | 52 / 48 | $35,494 | $1,540 |
| Salida | 3,036 | 51 / 49 | $39,339 | $2,081 |
| East Modesto | 2,185 | 62 / 38 | $38,646 | $2,028 |
Local date spots
Real venues across Modesto, scraped from Google Maps and filterable by neighborhood. Ratings and review counts are live Google data — never paid placement.
- Ceres
Hot Rod Diner
- East Modesto
Skewers Kabob House
- North Modesto
Commonwealth
- North Modesto
Wildfire Public House
- Northeast Modesto
Mikes Grillhouse
- South Modesto
The Twisted Pig Bar and Grill
- West Modesto
Rivets American Grill
- Oakdale
Backwoods Burgers
- Oakdale
Cahoots Corner Cafe
- East Modesto
P Wexford's Pub
- West Modesto
Old Mill Cafe
- Oakdale
Ryderz Restaurant and Lounge
- Northeast Modesto
Churchkey
- Downtown Modesto
The Queen Bean Coffee & Social House
- South Modesto
Galletto Ristorante
- Downtown Modesto
The Fox Pub
- South Modesto
Velvet Grill & Creamery
- West Modesto
Dave & Buster's Modesto
- Oakdale
Ferrarese's
- Downtown Modesto
Harvest Moon
- Downtown Modesto
Fuzio Universal Bistro
- Oakdale
Dutch Bros Coffee
- Northeast Modesto
The Secret Garden
- Downtown Modesto
Tresetti's World Caffe
- West Modesto
Guayabitos Restaurant
- Turlock
Roth Social House
- Turlock
Villa Napoli Restaurant
- Ceres
Sam's Cafe
- South Modesto
Sourdough & Co. Dale Road
- Oakdale
Bamboo Garden